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Integrate Uncertainty - Model Uncertainty

Bayesian Model Averaging

Model uncertainty in characterizing recreation demand (2010)

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An integrated hydrologic Bayesian multimodel combination framework: Confronting input, parameter, and model structural uncertainty in hydrologic prediction (2007)

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Complexity in microbial metabolic processes in soil nitrogen modeling: a case for model averaging (2010)

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The practical utility of incorporating model selection uncertainty into prognostic models for survival data (2005)

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Forecasting the price of gold using dynamic model averaging (2015)

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Probabilistic wind speed forecasting using Bayesian model averaging with truncated normal components (2013)

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Specification Uncertainty and Model Averaging (1997)

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Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Model Averaging and Selection Over the Business Cycle

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Bayesian Model Averaging with BMS for BMS Version 0.3.0 (2011)

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Model Uncertainty (2004)

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Fiscal Decentralisation and Economic Growth: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach (2009)

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Stock Return Predictability: A Bayesian Model Selection Perspective (2002)

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Exchange market pressures during the financial crisis: A Bayesian model averaging evidence (2013)

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Bayesian Model Averaging: A Systematic Review and Conceptual Classification (2015)

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Option pricing under Model and Parameter Uncertainty using Predictive Densities (2000)

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Model uncertainty and health effect studies for particulate matter (2000)

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A Research Agenda for Assessment and Propagation of Model Uncertainty (1987)

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Assessment and Propagation of Model Uncertainty (1995)

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Accounting for Model Uncertainty in the Prediction of University Graduation Rates (2004)

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Accounting for Input Model and Parameter Uncertainty in Simulation

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Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo Computation and Bayesian Model Determination (1995)

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Model Uncertainty in "Stochastic" and "Deterministic" Systems (1997)

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Inconsistency of Bayesian Inference for Misspecified Linear Models, and a Proposal for Repairing It (2017)

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Bayesian model averaging (1998)

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Bayesian Model Averaging: A Tutorial (1999)

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Extended-range Probabilistic 500hPa Geopotential Height Forecasting over Northern Hemisphere Using Bayesian Model Averaging (2017)

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Models and model selection uncertainty in estimating growth rates of endangered freshwater mussel populations (2008)

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Bayesian Multimodel Inference for Geostatistical Regression Models (2011)

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Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble (2017)

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Forecasting in dynamic factor models using Bayesian model averaging (2004)

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Mixtures of g-Priors in Generalized Linear Model (200)

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Bayesian model averaging for groundwater head prediction and uncertainty analysis using multimodel and multimethod (2009)

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Improved Bayesian multimodeling: Integration of copulas and Bayesian model averaging (2014)

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Enhancing the Predictive Performance of Bayesian Graphical Models (1994)

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Model Selection and Accounting for Model Uncertainty in Graphical Models Using Occam's Window (1992)

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Bootstrap model averaging in time series studies of particulate matter air pollution and mortality (2006)

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Turning Bayesian Model Averaging Into Bayesian Model Combination (2011)

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Ensemble Combination of Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts (2015)

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Package ‘BMA’

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Bayesian Model Selection in Social Research (1995)

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Bayesian Model Averaging for Linear Regression Models (1997)

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Using Bayesian Model Averaging to Calibrate Forecast Ensembles (2005)

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Online Prediction Under Model Uncertainty via Dynamic Model Averaging: Application to a Cold Rolling Mill (2010)

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Combining Dynamic Predictions from Joint Models for Longitudinal and Time-to-Event Data using Bayesian Model Averaging (2013)

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Assessment of conceptual model uncertainty for the regional aquifer Pampa del Tamarugal – North Chile (2010)

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On the value of conditioning data to reduce conceptual model uncertainty in groundwater modeling (2010)

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Model Uncertainty and Bayesian Model Averaged Benchmark Dose Estimation for Continuous Data (2014)

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Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit (2002)

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Bayesian model averaging in EEG/MEG imaging (2004)

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Variable Selection and Bayesian Mo del Averaging in Case􏳡Control Studies (2001)

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Bayesian Model Averaging in Proportional Hazard Models: Assessing the Risk of a Stroke (1997)

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Comparison of Bayesian model averaging and stepwise methods for model selection in logistic regression (2004)

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Bayesian Model Selection and Model Averaging (2000)

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The Use of Bayesian Model Averaging to Better Represent Uncertainty in Ecological Models (2003)

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Assessing Bayesian model averaging uncertainty of groundwater modeling based on information entropy method (2016)

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Bayesian Model Averaging Employing Fixed and Flexible Priors: The BMS Package for R (2015)

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Future projections and uncertainty assessment of extreme rainfall intensity in the United States from an ensemble of climate models (2012)

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Multimodel Inference

Multimodel Inference and the Understanding of Complexity, Discontinuity, and Normadism (2006)

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Avoiding Pitfalls When Using Information-Theoretic Methods (2002)

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Pharmacokinetic analysis of tissue microcirculation using nested models: Multimodel inference and parameter identifiability (2009)

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Model selection and multimodel inference for standardizing catch rates of bycatch species: a case study of oceanic whitetip shark in the Hawaii-based longline fishery (2013)

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Multimodel Inference: Understanding AIC and BIC in Model Selection (2004)

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Multimodel Inference not Just Ecology

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AIC model selection and multimodel inference in behavioral ecology: some background, observations, and comparisons (2011)

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Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences (2015)

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Multi-model inference in comparative phylogeography: an integrative approach based on multiple lines of evidence (2015)

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MMI: Multimodel Inference or Models With Management Implications? (2015)

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Quantifying variable importance in a multimodel inference framework (2016)

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Multimodel inference in ecology and evolution: challenges and solutions (2011)

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Accounting for uncertainty in health economic decision models by using model averaging (2009)

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Issues in information theory-based statistical inference—a commentary from a frequentist’s perspective (2011)

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Differential Equation Modeling of HIV Viral Fitness Experiments: Model Identification, Model Selection, and Multimodel Inference (2009)

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Chapter 12 Multimodel-Inference in Comparative Analyses (2014)

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Integrate Uncertainty - Method Uncertainty

Super Learner

Super Learner

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Integrate Uncertainty - Parameter Uncertainty

Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis

Probabilistic sensitivity analysis for NICE technology assessment: not an optional extra (2005)

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Probabilistic sensitivity analysis to understand the influence of micromechanical properties of wood on its macroscopic response (2017)

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Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: a Bayesian approach (2004)

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Bayesian Deep Learning

Towards Robust Evaluations of Continual Learning (2018)

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On Modern Deep Learning and Variational Inference (2015)

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What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision? (2017)

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A Simple Baseline for Bayesian Uncertainty in Deep Learning (2019)

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Deep Learning: A Bayesian Perspective (2017)

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Understanding Measures of Uncertainty for Adversarial Example Detection (2018)

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Integrate Uncertainty - Measurement Uncertainty

Structural Equation Modeling

Structural Equation Modeling (2003)

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A Brief Guide to Structural Equation Modeling (2006)

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Simulation Extrapolation

Simulation–extrapolation method to address errors in atomic bomb survivor dosimetry on solid cancer and leukaemia mortality risk estimates, 1950–2003 (2015)

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Non-Gaussian Berkson errors in bioassay (2016)

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SIMEX and standard error estimation in semiparametric measurement error models (2009)

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Multiplicative Measurement Error and the Simulation Extrapolation Method (2008)

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Perturbation by multiplicative noise and the Simulation Extrapolation method (2008)

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Asymptotics for the SIMEX Estimator in Nonlinear Measurement Error Models (1996)

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Simulation-Extrapolation Estimation in Parametric Measurement Error Models (1994)

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Using SIMEX for Smoothing-Parameter Choice in Errors-in-Variables Problems

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SIMEX R Package for Accelerated Failure Time Models with Covariate Measurement Error (2012)

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Simulation extrapolation estimation in parametric models with Laplace measurement error (2014)

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A short Introduction to the SIMEX and MCSIMEX (2006)

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Simulation–extrapolation for bias correction with exposure uncertainty in radiation risk analysis utilizing grouped data (2018)

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Simulation–extrapolation for bias correction with exposure uncertainty in radiation risk analysis utilizing grouped data (2017)

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The Multiplicative Simulation-Extrapolation Approach (2007)

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Considerations for analysis of time-to-event outcomes measured with error: Bias and correction with SIMEX (2016)

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Using the SIMEX Method to Estimate Temporal Change for a High-scoring Group (2008)

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SIMEX R Package for Accelerated Failure Time Models with Covariate Measurement Error (2012)

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Simulation Extrapolation R Documentation

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An investigation of the MC-SIMEX method with application to measurement error in periodontal outcomes (2009)

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Local Polynomial Regression and SIMEX (2003)

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A simulation-based marginal method for longitudinal data with dropout and mismeasured covariates (2008)

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Regression Calibration

Use of Two-Part Regression Calibration Model to Correct for Measurement Error in Episodically Consumed Foods in a Single-Replicate Study Design: EPIC Case Study (2014)

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Regression calibration for Cox regression under heteroscedastic measurement error: determining risk factors of cardiovascular diseases from error-prone nutritional replication data (2008)

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Anwendung von Messmodellen bei der Analyse der Wirkung von Luftschadstoffen (2011)

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Regression Calibration for Classical Exposure Measurement Error in Environmental Epidemiology Studies Using Multiple Local Surrogate Exposures (2008)

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Sensitivity of regression calibration to non-perfect validation data with application to the Norwegian Women and Cancer Study (2015)

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Regression calibration in studies with correlated variables measured with error (2001)

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On Using Summary Statistics From an External Calibration Sample to Correct for Covariate Measurement Error (2012)

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Long-Term Ambient Residential Traffic–Related Exposures and Measurement Error–Adjusted Risk of Incident Lung Cancer in the Netherlands Cohort Study on Diet and Cancer (2015)

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The association of long-term exposure to PM2.5 on all-cause mortality in the Nurses’ Health Study and the impact of measurement-error correction (2015)

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Regression Calibration with More Surrogates than Mismeasured Variables (2012)

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Measurement Error of Self-Reported Physical Activity Levels in New York City: Assessment and Correction (2015)

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Estimating and testing interactions in linear regression models when explanatory variables are subject to classical measurement error

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Estimating and testing interactions when explanatory variables are subject to non-classical measurement error (2013)

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Regression Calibration for Dichotomized Mismeasured Predictors (2009)

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Correction of logistic regression relative risk estimates and confidence intervals for systematic within-person measurement error (1989)

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Measurement Error Correction in Nutritional Epidemiology based on Individual Foods, with Application to the Relation of Diet to Breast Cancer (2001)

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Measurement error correction for nutritional exposures with correlated measurement error: Use of the method of triads in a longitudinal setting (2008)

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Regression calibration for logistic regression with multiple surrogates for one exposure (2007)

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Regression calibration method for correcting measurement-error bias in nutritional epidemiology (1997)

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Regression Calibration with Heteroscedastic Error Variance (2011)

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Equivalence of regression calibration methods in main study/external validation study designs (2003)

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Flexible regression calibration for covariate measurement error with longitudinal surrogate variables (2000)

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Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling

Bayesian correction for covariate measurement error: A frequentist evaluation and comparison with regression calibration (2018)

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A Bayesian Multi-level model for estimating the diet/disease relationship in a multicenter study with exposures measured with error: the EPIC study (2008)

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Conditional independence models for epidemiological studies with covariate measurement error (1993)

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